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Session Bias Scorecard

Every sentiment call we publish, scored against the market

Three sessions a day, every trading pair we cover. Each read is stamped with the live price at session open and settled against the real move. Nothing is edited or removed, losses included.

55.0%
454 of 825 scored calls moved the way we said since 2026-08-06. Quiet sessions are excluded, never counted as wins. This page rebuilds itself from the ledger on every visit.
48.9%
2026-10 · 111/227
62.4%
2026-09 · 254/407
46.6%
2026-08 · 89/191
825
Calls scored · 251 quiet · 15 open

Latest settled session · Asia, 2026-10-22

PairCall at openOpen → settleMoveResult
EUR/USD▼ Bearish · strength 21.12341 → 1.12489+14.8 pipsCONTRA

Hit rate by session

Asia54.1% · 132/244
London58.0% · 181/312
New York52.4% · 141/269

The vertical line marks 50%, a coin flip. Right of it, sentiment carried information for that session.

Hit rate by pair · minimum 8 scored calls

CHF/JPY66.7% · 12/18
AUD/JPY63.3% · 19/30
CAD/JPY62.5% · 20/32
GBP/USD62.1% · 54/87
GBP/JPY61.7% · 29/47
EUR/GBP60.0% · 18/30
NZD/USD56.4% · 44/78
USD/CAD56.4% · 44/78
EUR/USD53.6% · 52/97
USD/CHF52.8% · 38/72
EUR/JPY52.5% · 32/61
AUD/USD50.0% · 39/78
EUR/CHF45.7% · 16/35
USD/JPY45.3% · 24/53
AUD/NZD44.8% · 13/29

Markets · Gold, silver, oil, crypto and US indices

XAU/USD55.6% · 10/18

XAU/USD: 41 settled session calls, 10 aligned, 8 contra, 7 quiet, 16 neutral.

XAG/USD61.5% · 8/13

XAG/USD: 26 settled session calls, 8 aligned, 5 contra, 1 quiet, 12 neutral.

WTI/USD45.5% · 5/11

WTI/USD: 26 settled session calls, 5 aligned, 6 contra, 4 quiet, 11 neutral.

XBR/USD45.5% · 5/11

XBR/USD: 26 settled session calls, 5 aligned, 6 contra, 3 quiet, 12 neutral.

BTC/USD45.5% · 5/11

BTC/USD: 37 settled session calls, 5 aligned, 6 contra, 7 quiet, 19 neutral.

ETH/USD33.3% · 4/12

ETH/USD: 37 settled session calls, 4 aligned, 8 contra, 6 quiet, 19 neutral.

SOL/USD50.0% · 7/14

SOL/USD: 37 settled session calls, 7 aligned, 7 contra, 9 quiet, 14 neutral.

XRP/USD33.3% · 3/9

XRP/USD: 37 settled session calls, 3 aligned, 6 contra, 8 quiet, 20 neutral.

BNB/USD: 37 settled session calls, 2 aligned, 2 contra, 12 quiet, 21 neutral. A rate shows from 8 scored calls.

US 500: 8 settled session calls, 1 aligned, 0 contra, 1 quiet, 6 neutral. A rate shows from 8 scored calls.

US Tech 100: 8 settled session calls, 2 aligned, 1 contra, 3 quiet, 2 neutral. A rate shows from 8 scored calls.

Dow 30: 8 settled session calls, 2 aligned, 1 contra, 0 quiet, 5 neutral. A rate shows from 8 scored calls.

Markets sentiment and bias  Â·  Live market session calls are part of Pro

How a call is scored

At each session open the sentiment engine records a directional read for every covered pair, with the live price at that moment. When the session settles, the move is measured against the pair's own volatility band: a move in the direction of the call is aligned, a move against it is contra, and a move too small to matter is quiet and excluded from the hit rate. Reads without a clean price window are never scored. The rules are fixed in code, run on a schedule, and no human touches the results. This is a record of how often news sentiment carried tradable information, not trade advice.

The record is public. The live read is Pro.
This page shows how the calls scored after each session closed. Pro members see the current session's reads as they publish, with alerts and the API. 7 day free trial, no card tricks.
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